2010 Triple J Hottest 100 – who will be this years winner? Predictions and odds

The 2011 predictions and odds article is here
If your looking to place a bet on the Triple J Hottest 100, then sign up at sportingbet.
The triple J hottest 100 is on again for Australian music fans, and hopefully this year we wont get the result before the result is played. Triple j crew got a major slap on the wrist last year when they accidently posted on their website, several days before the actual release time, that Mumford and Suns song Little Lion Man had won.

Congratulations, went the webpage. Turns out some staff member had already created the winning webpage for the group and had accidently uploaded it a week early. As a consequence, the odds for Momford and Suns went from $11 into $2.20 and then the entire market got taken off the bookmakers.

Will there be any insider trading this year? It takes a brave bookmaker to price up the market, but I guess with small turnover the advertising possibilities outweighs the potential loss. Already I notice, that Sportingbet have odds available and have already done a publicity piece at the herald sun website.

Interestingly, they claim that Big Jet Plane by Angus and Julia Stone has been heavily backed by bookmakers. Surprising this when you consider that their price has actually gone out from a starting price of 3.5 to 3.75. I guess Sportingbet want you to think that they are a good thing. But Angus and Julia stone are also the peoples choice at the hottest 100. Being Australian for starters helps, and also having that urban alternative look and feel adds another positive for them.

On the downside is the fact that their songs on their album, despite being a great collection, don’t really stand out by themselves. This is after all a song contest, not an album contest. No better way of highlighting this is to show the 2.50 favourite Cee-Lo Green’s controversial hit Fuck You. Controversial I guess, only because of the language. But can anyone think of any other songs that Cee-Lo Green has sung? Probably not, although we all should know of his writing of Gnarls Barkley’s Crazy.

Keep in mind that Crazy was, also surprisingly, the 2.50 favourite to win in 2006 but came in 6th

So as punters what should we do when betting on the hottest 100? Well, last year, if you had followed the trends you would have collected very well. So what are the trends at the moment? The biggest mover is Duck Sauce’s Barbara Streisand. It started at odds of 51, and is now into 11s.

Had the competition been run a few weeks ago it probably could have won, however, as time goes by, this song gets more annoying, and I can’t see it making the top spot. Plans by Birds of Tokyo has come in from 11 into 6.5. Probably the most liked typical band of the year, the birds are a great chance to take the converted prize. Sparkadia has come in from 26 into 15, whilst John Butlers Revolution has drifted from 9 to 10.

Whilst not being a massive John Butler fan (that’s a surprise to some of you who have seen me I’m sure!), I kinda like his Revolution. Along with Plans, they are the only two songs with a possibility of winning that mould into the older style of triple j music.

So my suggestion? Hmm….I think I’ll watch the markets a little more, and write another post about the countdown soon. Oh and of course, if you make a bet, make sure that you vote for them too!

For more insider tips, predicions and gambling information, sign up to our mailing list or like us on facebook.

Current Odds courtesy of Sportingbet:

Who’s your pick for this years title? Add your selection in the comments section below.