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Sportpunter's AFL Model

 

Thanks for showing a registered interest in Sportpunter's AFL Model. This is not an opportunity that you want to let slip. Where else has a model recieved 15% ROI over a 7 year period? Where else can you triple your bank balance every year? At Sportpunter.

When you sign up, here is what you shall recieve:

  • Probabilities each week of teams winning a game, for the pre-season, home and away and finals matches.
  • Assessed prices for each game and comparisions with the bookmakers prices.
  • Predicted line result for each AFL game.
  • Probabilities and assesed prices for margin betting for every team in every match. ie, the assesed price of a team winning by less or greater than 39 points
  • The suggested amount of your bank to bet on each of the overlays that we have as given by the kelly criteria.
  • Probabilities and assessed prices of each team to win the premiership, finish top 4, make the finals and come last each week.
  • The probability and assessed prices of teams to be up at half time.
  • The quarter by quarter probabilities and assessed prices. For example, the probability of a team being up at quarter time, down at half time and the go on to win the match.
  • An indepth analysis of every team for every match, including last 10 matches, last 10 matches versus opposition, last 10 matches at a particular ground and last 10 matches at a particular ground versus the opposition. An indepth analysis includes the residual of each match (the comparison between predicted and actual score), the odds given for the games, and the history of betting for and against each team in every situation.
  • Estimated total scores for each side. This takes into account the opposition, ground, whether is was played at night etc.
  • A graph for every team which shows the points that they kicked for and against as well as the total points scored in the game over the past 30 games. A moving average is applied so that you can judge the total scores for yourself.
  • Commentory on all the suggested bets by Sportpunter's own Jonathan Lowe. He will talk about why the best are good bets and why the overlay occurs.
  • All this information will be given out early in the week (monday bar long weekends) so you can instantly find value and increase your bank balance.
  • And not forgetting the Sportpunter Forum. Where you can discuss the computer predictions and ask Jonathan questions in person.

 

But when you sign up for the Sportpunter AFL Model, you will also recieve some very valuable software:

  • An 8 Page Word Document intoducing you to the Sport AFL as well as the nitty gritty about gambling on AFL. This is especially usefull to those who are unfamiliar with the sport. It really doesn't matter if you don't know much about AFL, all you have to do it follow Sportpunter's AFL Predictions.
  • Included in this document is a revolutionary statistic of the past 6 years. Sportpunter have done lots of analysis into the odds ove rthe past 6 years and have come up with some astonishing and amazing results. We discuss, how the bookmakers in the past 6 years have been marketing their odds comlpetly wrong. We even tell you certain methods that have made as much as 7.7% ROI by blindly betting (not even taking into account who is playing). This is revolutionary stuff that has not been discovered before, and is a key to defeating the bookmaker.
  • AFL Bet Calcultor (in Excel). Simply all you enter is the odds that you can get, and your bank balance and this does all the work for you. In fact you can even enter betfair odds and it will determine how much to lay (or bet). A very handy and useful tool for any Sports better (not just AFL).
  • AFL In-Play Calculator (Excel). What is the probability of a team winning if they are down by 11 points at quarter time? This calculator will work that out for you! Not only that, it will even work out the probability of a team winning by more or less than 39 points given that they are down by 11 points at quarter/half or 3/4 time. The probability of a draw is also given. This spreadsheet uses complicated mathematical methods of which only Honours or Masters level Statisticans will have learnt.
  • AFL Bet Simulator. Using previous betting records as our basis, you can use this simulator to organise your money managment for the upcoming year. Using different kelly amounts (constant or not), and deciding to bet on interstate or non-interstate travelling sides, the simulator works out the average profit expected, and the probability of making a loss or going bankrupt. You can you this simulator to maximise profits when determining your money management strategy.

1. Paypal - Credit Card

Subscription
Price (Non Australians) - $US
Price (Australians) - $US
Purchase
2006: Full Year
$192.00
$192.00 + $19.20 GST = $211.20

 

2. Direct Deposit

Subscription
Price (Australians) - $AU
2006: Full Year
$256.00 + $25.60 GST = $281.60

Money's can be transfered to:

Bank: Bank of Melbourne

Name: Sportpunter

Account Number: 258921

Account BSB: 033126

Swift Code (for international deposits): WPACAU25

Please include your name or some sort of identifier in the transfer. Please email Sportpunter following the deposit. Please note it may take 1 to 2 days for a direct bank deposit to be transfered.

 

3. Bank Cheque or Money Order ($AU)

To subscribe via Bank Cheque or Money Order then please email Sportpunter with regards to mailing address. The cost is the same as direct bank deposit, however please note that it may take several days for a bank cheque to clear.

 

Sportpunter Multiple Subscriptions

If you wish to purchase more than one of Sportpunter's Subscriptions then you might as well buy a package. Buying a package can save you up to 19% of costs by buying the sports together. For information regarding this, please see the Sportpunter Multiple Subscriptions webpage.

If you have any further questions regardig Payment or about the Sportpunter AFL model then dro by the forum or email Sportpunter.

 

 





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