Author Archives: sportpunter

AFL line betting

Previously we looked at how the Sportpunter AFL model had gone betting head to head. In this article we will look a little more in depth about how it goes betting on the line or with a handicap. Traditionally, unlike … Continue reading

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Sportpunter’s AFL Model Analysis

The AFL season is set to start again this Thursday and with my personal favourite model, we will be predicting from day 1. The tigers play Carlton in the traditional first up game, and we hope (or maybe we don’t) … Continue reading

Posted in Model, Sport Models | 7 Comments

Sportsbet $100 NRL Money Back

NRL Season is set to start this weekend, and as per normal, Sportsbet are coming to the rescue with great offers. If you bet with them up to $100 on any head to head matches, then for the first bet … Continue reading

Posted in News, Sport News | 1 Comment

Sportpunter’s NRL Model Analysis

Previously we looked at how the big outsiders have done well in NRL since 2002. Simply betting on all teams where the odds are greater then 4.00 would have netted a profit in excess of 19% ROI. But when does … Continue reading

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Backing the underdogs in the NRL

The NRL season is about to start this Friday. It’s looking to be a great season with Parramatta slight bookie favourites over last years premiership team Melbourne Storm. Sportpunter’s NRL model has done exceptionally well over the years, making over … Continue reading

Posted in Model, Sport Models | 3 Comments

Davis cup bias in home/away players

With Davis Cup coming this weekend, I thought it was a good opportunity to find out how well the model goes. Many people would say that the Davis cup is a completely different game compared to normal tournaments, and if … Continue reading

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Betting short favourites in women’s tennis over the last 6 years

Everyone knows that there is a favourite long shot bias in most sports. And despite this, many are very afraid to bet big on small priced favourites because of fears of losing way too much money. Money fluctuations are something … Continue reading

Posted in Blog, Gambling Blog | 3 Comments

College Basketball Overs betting Analysis

We previously looked a college basketball totals betting as well as focusing on unders betting. Today we will look at how well we have done suggesting bets on the overs. The data below show our betting history for overs betting. … Continue reading

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College Basketball Unders betting Analysis

We previously looked at College basketball totals betting and where and when it is profitable. Overall a 5.5% ROI was made, but interestingly some of the larger overlays failed to return a profit. Is this the case for over and … Continue reading

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Soccer over betting minimum overlays based on League Level

The last article I wrote about soccer was about betting the totals, more specifically the unders. We grouped the leagues into different divisions based on popularity and decided what the minimum overlay would be to bet on the unders for … Continue reading

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Posted in Model, Sport Models | 5 Comments