Emails from AFL Punters

"I just had a quick look thru my records regarding underdogs and line betting for AFL this year.

Based on an underdog with a minimum price of $3.00 and an overlay, the record for covering the line is 12-5 this year. Quite impressive."

"Last year I paid big money to get the "insiders" AFL predictions. But throughout the whole year I didn't gain a thing. Lost lots of money. I came to Sportpunter the next year and have seen my bank more than double, almost triple in fact and it's only three quarters of the season. How do you keep coming up with these great bets?"

"have noticed that the AFL is going extremely well. I was able to secure the double on TAB of Brisbane/Kangaroos which paid quite well. As both teams were selected within 2 goals of the actual result !!!! Lets hope this can continue . Go the Bombers this week !! And hopefully my team Richmond can get up against an over rated Collingwood side. "

"Jonathan and list members, I have been looking into the AFL numbers/bets and have noticed that by betting level stakes of $100 on all overlays (no min/max) has resulted in a bank of $2950 to date using the odds I get when I place bets. This compares with my full Kelly bank of $1815 which has an average bet of $152. Therefore level stakes appears to be a viable/profitable betting option for those who do not like volatility of Kelly betting. Will do a similar comparison for tennis when I get the chance.

Thanks for all your work, it is much appreciated. "

"My only bet in the AFL round 2 was 26% of bank on the Roos. The Pies would have been a plunge had better prices been available. Up 118% after these 2 incredible rounds."

"Entered your figures into my database for the last 2 seasons of AFL and my results pretty much confirmed your good statistics.

Using an overlay cutoff of 10% and betting to win a fixed amount per bet returned as follows :

2001 : 17% profit on turnover

2002 : 14% profit on turnover

Both years together : 16% profit on turnover

I don’t like Kelly betting and simply bet to win fixed amount per bet. Figures like 17% in a season are fairly impressive over the course of a whole season. "

"Thanks Jonathan, I was fortunate enough to return 134% on the AFL by keeping bets to 17% plus on overlays as mentioned on the Swinburne uni site.

Only lost on Kanga's over 39.5. Keep up the good work."

"Too right, the Roos were well predicted, it was an 'easy' win for the computer.

Same with the Swans.... despite talk of Sydney being a contender for the wooden spoon by some, I stuck with the computer predictions and reaped the rewards.

With those two, plus Collingwood on Friday, I'm up 66% already. Little wonder I don't try to outsmart computer predictions!"