AFL Disposals Under - Bet History

223 settled bets — $72,869 staked, $11,405 profit, +15.7% POT.

Every selection the live rule produced at an overlay of 20% or better, staked at $1,000 Full Kelly: stake = 1000 × overlay / (odds − 1), where overlay = model probability × price − 1. No capping, rounding or bankroll compounding. Prices are the Sportsbet under price at the time the selection was made. Results are graded from official match statistics: an under wins when the player finishes below the line.

By season

Season#Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%POT
202622313661.0%$72,869$11,405+15.7%
Total22313661.0%$72,869$11,405+15.7%

By overlay

Overlay#Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%POT
20-30%1479061.2%$40,435$6,075+15.0%
30-40%563257.1%$21,646$1,544+7.1%
40-50%14964.3%$6,997$1,577+22.5%
50%+6583.3%$3,791$2,210+58.3%
Total22313661.0%$72,869$11,405+15.7%

By line

Line#Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%POT
10.511100.0%$237$209+88.0%
13.5100.0%$264-$264-100.0%
14.53266.7%$844$201+23.8%
15.54250.0%$952-$73-7.7%
16.514964.3%$4,334$827+19.1%
17.57571.4%$2,086$740+35.5%
18.514857.1%$4,764$338+7.1%
19.516956.2%$5,494$1,293+23.5%
20.517847.1%$6,122-$158-2.6%
21.5191368.4%$6,409$1,707+26.6%
22.5261246.2%$8,503-$1,061-12.5%
23.5242291.7%$7,515$5,574+74.2%
24.5271659.3%$8,895$1,072+12.1%
25.5151280.0%$4,985$2,398+48.1%
26.513646.2%$4,267-$820-19.2%
27.56233.3%$1,595-$615-38.5%
28.55480.0%$1,606$822+51.2%
29.511100.0%$318$280+88.0%
30.53266.7%$920$245+26.6%
31.52150.0%$671$68+10.1%
32.5200.0%$710-$710-100.0%
33.52150.0%$1,060-$351-33.1%
34.5100.0%$318-$318-100.0%
Total22313661.0%$72,869$11,405+15.7%

Cumulative profit by round

Most recent settled bets

Date Player Match LineModelPriceOverlay $BetActualResult$Profit
19 Sep 2026Dayne ZorkoBrisbane Lions v Hawthorn Hawks25.562.9%$1.91+20.1%$22121WIN$201
18 Sep 2026Jake LloydFremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans21.582.1%$1.91+56.8%$62421WIN$568
18 Sep 2026Alex PearceFremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans10.564.3%$1.88+20.9%$2379WIN$209
18 Sep 2026James RowbottomFremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans16.564.3%$1.87+20.3%$23314WIN$203
12 Sep 2026Harris AndrewsAdelaide Crows v Brisbane Lions14.572.7%$1.72+25.0%$34812WIN$250
11 Sep 2026Luke JacksonGeelong Cats v Fremantle Dockers20.574.5%$1.80+34.1%$42625LOSS-$426
11 Sep 2026Shaun MannaghGeelong Cats v Fremantle Dockers21.570.1%$1.84+29.0%$34617WIN$290
05 Sep 2026James RowbottomBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans18.578.8%$1.89+49.0%$55013WIN$490
05 Sep 2026Braeden CampbellBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans17.573.7%$1.89+39.3%$44215WIN$393
05 Sep 2026Jake LloydBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans18.573.1%$1.90+38.9%$43326LOSS-$433
05 Sep 2026Wayne MileraWestern Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows24.569.0%$1.89+30.5%$34227LOSS-$342
05 Sep 2026Tom PapleyBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans16.569.1%$1.88+29.9%$34016WIN$299
05 Sep 2026Rhylee WestWestern Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows16.570.3%$1.81+27.3%$33721LOSS-$337
05 Sep 2026Sam WicksBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans16.566.3%$1.91+26.6%$2929WIN$266
05 Sep 2026Callum MillsBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans24.565.4%$1.89+23.7%$2665WIN$237
05 Sep 2026Dane RampeBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans13.565.7%$1.87+23.0%$26419LOSS-$264
05 Sep 2026Rory LairdWestern Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows23.565.8%$1.86+22.3%$26022WIN$223
05 Sep 2026Jai SerongBrisbane Lions v Sydney Swans18.566.9%$1.82+21.7%$26515WIN$217
05 Sep 2026Brayden CookWestern Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows16.565.0%$1.87+21.5%$24717LOSS-$247
04 Sep 2026Gryan MiersCarlton Blues v Geelong Cats20.570.2%$1.91+34.0%$37424LOSS-$374
04 Sep 2026Mark O'ConnorCarlton Blues v Geelong Cats14.562.7%$1.94+21.6%$23012WIN$216
03 Sep 2026Caleb SerongHawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers26.571.7%$1.88+34.7%$39520WIN$347
03 Sep 2026Murphy ReidHawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers21.570.0%$1.90+32.9%$36624LOSS-$366
03 Sep 2026Josh BattleHawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers18.568.3%$1.87+27.7%$31816WIN$277
03 Sep 2026Luke JacksonHawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers18.566.2%$1.87+23.7%$27322LOSS-$273
03 Sep 2026James SicilyHawthorn Hawks v Fremantle Dockers19.565.4%$1.87+22.3%$25626LOSS-$256
29 Aug 2026Ed LangdonCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons19.581.1%$2.01+63.0%$62318WIN$630
29 Aug 2026Koltyn TholstrupCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons19.576.5%$2.00+53.0%$53015WIN$530
29 Aug 2026Tom SparrowCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons23.574.9%$1.95+46.1%$48510WIN$461
29 Aug 2026Kysaiah PickettCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons24.575.5%$1.88+41.9%$47619WIN$419
29 Aug 2026Oliver FlorentCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons24.568.9%$1.92+32.4%$35224WIN$324
29 Aug 2026Trent RiversCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons20.565.2%$1.92+25.1%$27317WIN$251
29 Aug 2026Daniel TurnerCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons14.565.2%$1.90+23.9%$26615LOSS-$266
29 Aug 2026Max GawnCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons22.563.1%$1.94+22.4%$23818WIN$224
29 Aug 2026Kade ChandlerCarlton Blues v Melbourne Demons15.566.0%$1.84+21.5%$25516LOSS-$255
28 Aug 2026Matthew KennedyCollingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs24.575.0%$1.92+44.0%$47827LOSS-$478
28 Aug 2026Jeremy HoweCollingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs16.574.0%$1.83+35.4%$42615WIN$354
28 Aug 2026Connor BudarickCollingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs16.569.1%$1.89+30.6%$3439WIN$306
28 Aug 2026Jordan De GoeyCollingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs24.570.2%$1.83+28.4%$34215WIN$284
28 Aug 2026Patrick LipinskiCollingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs19.566.5%$1.81+20.4%$25124LOSS-$251
23 Aug 2026James RowbottomNorth Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans20.588.6%$1.87+65.6%$75419WIN$656
23 Aug 2026Joe RichardsPort Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers25.579.6%$1.87+48.9%$56222WIN$489
23 Aug 2026Angus SheldrickNorth Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans23.577.4%$1.87+44.8%$51516WIN$448
23 Aug 2026Darcy Byrne-JonesPort Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers24.576.8%$1.88+44.3%$50426LOSS-$504
23 Aug 2026Jase BurgoynePort Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers26.569.7%$1.89+31.7%$35730LOSS-$357
23 Aug 2026Finn O'SullivanNorth Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans22.567.1%$1.91+28.2%$31020WIN$282
23 Aug 2026Archie RobertsPort Adelaide Power v Essendon Bombers28.567.7%$1.88+27.3%$31027WIN$273
23 Aug 2026Luke Davies-UniackeNorth Melbourne Kangaroos v Sydney Swans27.566.0%$1.89+24.8%$27917WIN$248
22 Aug 2026Jake BoweyWestern Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons26.567.7%$1.85+25.3%$29826WIN$253
22 Aug 2026Bailey DaleWestern Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons27.564.7%$1.87+20.9%$24128LOSS-$241
22 Aug 2026Stephen ConiglioGreater Western Sydney Giants v Adelaide Crows19.562.7%$1.92+20.4%$22220LOSS-$222
22 Aug 2026Kysaiah PickettWestern Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons24.562.2%$1.93+20.0%$21626LOSS-$216
20 Aug 2026Bradley HillGold Coast Suns v St Kilda Saints33.585.5%$1.88+60.8%$69142LOSS-$691
15 Aug 2026Karl AmonCollingwood Magpies v Hawthorn Hawks23.572.5%$1.85+34.0%$40018WIN$340
15 Aug 2026Ed LangdonMelbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power19.566.8%$1.90+27.0%$30021LOSS-$300
15 Aug 2026Miles BergmanMelbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power20.567.7%$1.87+26.7%$30727LOSS-$307
15 Aug 2026Max HallSt Kilda Saints v Richmond Tigers26.569.2%$1.82+26.0%$31740LOSS-$317
15 Aug 2026Kysaiah PickettMelbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power24.565.2%$1.91+24.6%$27024WIN$246
15 Aug 2026Joe BerryMelbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power16.565.7%$1.87+22.8%$2629WIN$228
08 Aug 2026Tanner BruhnEssendon Bombers v Geelong Cats25.567.5%$1.99+34.2%$34616WIN$342

Generated 13 Oct 2026 10:20 AM AEST.