Data-driven models for serious punters.
Sportpunter runs data-driven, model-based betting analysis across a growing lineup of sports — AFL, NRL, NRL Totals, AFL player props, AFLW, NRLW and WNBA player props, with NBA, NFL, NBL and English Super League coming. Since 2006 we've published every model output and every result transparently so you can verify the record yourself.
AFL & NRL match models
Daily model outputs, prices, overlays and suggested bets.
Player props & groups
Probabilities, comparison tools and player-based insights.
Performance pages
Link directly to results, public write-ups and subscriber information.
Qualified Analyst
Studying Statistics with honors and Masters, Jonathan has become an expert in statistical modelling and AI Machine Learning.
What members get
Access model-based predictions and player prop tools across AFL, NRL, AFLW, NRLW and WNBA — plus a dedicated NRL Totals model — with a full history of published results in one members area.
AFL, NRL, AFLW & NRLW match models
Model-based head-to-head and line analysis for every round, with disciplined betting focus instead of hype.
AFL & WNBA player prop tools
Probabilities, group markets and overlay analysis across AFL disposals, goals, marks, tackles, kicks, handballs, clearances, fantasy points — and WNBA player props.
NRL Totals model
Dedicated Over/Under model for NRL match totals — up +68.8% POT year-to-date in 2026.
Transparent 20-year record
Full public history of published bets and results across every model — verify the record yourself.
Season simulations
Probability-driven outlooks for team futures, ladders and season-long outcomes across the majors.
Coming soon
NBA, NFL, NBL and English Super League — model coverage expanding across the 2026–27 seasons.
Two decades of model-driven betting
Sportpunter has been publishing transparent, model-based tips since 2006. Every system is built on statistical analysis, not opinion — and every result is on the record.
Performance and proof
Long-term transparency plus a 2026 year-to-date snapshot. Every bet is published; every result is graded.
Updated weekly Profits and Suggested Bets
We provide all overlay analysis, graphs, round breakup and suggested commentary of all bets.
Updated weekly Profits and Suggested Bets
We provide all overlay analysis, graphs, round breakup and suggested commentary of all bets.
Player Prop Bets Record
The only place where you can download previous suggested bets, and analyse by overlay — creating the best opportunities for you to profit.
Probabilities of Disposals, Goals, Marks, Tackles, Clearances
Get real value with probabilities from every player scoring greater than or less than a certain number of specific stats.
Join Sportpunter
Try Sportpunter free for 14 days — then $149 a month for full access across every model.
Sportpunter Membership
Start with a free 14-day trial, then $149 a month for ongoing full access across AFL, NRL, NRL Totals, AFL player props, AFLW, NRLW and WNBA player props — plus NBA, NFL, NBL and English Super League as they launch. Cancel any time during the trial and pay nothing.
- Full access to all member tools and predictions
- No charge for the first 14 days
- Cancel before the trial ends and pay nothing
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Stay up to date with Sportpunter's latest tips, model updates and round-by-round analysis.